EFL Championship playoff contenders for 2024/25 and their chances of promotion:
1. Sheffield United – The Strongest Candidate on Paper
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League finish: 3rd (90 points – extremely high)
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Strengths: Excellent season-long consistency, one of the best goalkeepers in the league (Michael Cooper), good creative presence (Gustavo Hamer), and a strong home record.
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Weaknesses: Lack of a reliable goalscorer, playoff history is poor (0 promotions in 5 attempts).
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Form: Solid overall, but didn’t dominate either end of the pitch.
🟢 Verdict: The most statistically favored team – but the weight of playoff history and a lack of firepower could haunt them again.
2. Coventry City – The Momentum Team
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League finish: 5th
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Strengths: Huge improvement under Frank Lampard, strong xG metrics, set-piece threat (most headed goals), creative stars like Rudoni.
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Weaknesses: Leaky defense (58 goals conceded – worst among the four), squad may lack depth.
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Form: Impressive turnaround, ending the season strongly with a decisive final-day win.
🟢 Verdict: The form and xG metrics make them dangerous. If they can patch up the defense, they could be the dark horse.
3. Sunderland – Talented but Tumbling
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League finish: 6th
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Strengths: Youthful energy, strong overall squad quality, Premier League pedigree (most games played of the four), strong first half of the season.
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Weaknesses: Limped into playoffs with 5 straight losses, key scorer (Isidor) out of form, penalty issues, and historical shootout woes.
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Form: Terrible – worst run into the playoffs in EFL history.
🔴 Verdict: Right now, too cold to trust. Unless they snap the losing streak immediately, Coventry may overwhelm them.
4. Bristol City – The Underdog
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League finish: 6th (lowest playoff point total in over a decade)
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Strengths: Stable squad with consistent starters, strong home form, resilience from losing positions, two double-digit scorers (Mehmeti & Wells).
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Weaknesses: Weak away form, recent dip in results, lowest squad rotation in the league, lowest goals among the four.
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Form: Mixed – good home record, but poor away and only one win in five.
🟡 Verdict: Could spring a surprise at home but will likely fall short over two legs. Needs to punch above their weight to advance.
🔮 Promotion Prediction (Most Likely to Least Likely)
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Sheffield United – Solid season, third-place advantage, but beware the playoff curse.
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Coventry City – Dangerous on a good day, riding a momentum wave under Lampard.
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Bristol City – Limited ceiling but tough at home. Could reach the final if they win the first leg.
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Sunderland – Out of form, vulnerable, and facing the in-form Sky Blues.